UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Welterweight
VS
54%
Malott
46%
Radtke
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malott
This is a genuine toss-up — Malott at 54% vs Radtke at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Radtke has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Malott
Radtke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
72"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Malott
Radtke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.1
59.6
63.2
Performance Avg
54.4
47
Quality of Victory
43
97
Momentum Score
84
Malott
Radtke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Malott
Radtke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Malott
Radtke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Malott
Radtke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
84
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Malott
Radtke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Malott
Radtke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MalottRadtke
Strike Zones
Malott
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRadtke
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Malott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Radtke absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Malott
RND
Radtke
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Malott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Radtke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Malott · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Charles RadtkeRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Radtke · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Sub · R3
Daniel FrunzaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

