METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Spann
36%
Clark
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:01
Ryan
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
2411
6'5"79" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Devin
Devin Clark
"Brown Bear"
149
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 24
★ Official Result
Ryan SpannwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:01
def. Devin Clark · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spann
Actual result
Spann wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Spann holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Clark has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Spann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Risk flags

Spann's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SpannClark
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Spann
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
75"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spann
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
23.9
53.3
Performance Avg
35.7
50
Quality of Victory
28
10
Momentum Score
43
Spann
Clark
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
2.3
2.8
Style: Volume
7.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance5
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Spann
Clark
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spann
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
17/35 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Spann
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Spann
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
13%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spann
Clark
Striking5.2 / 2.2Volume2.8 / 7.9Grappling3.7 / 2.1Wrestling2.6 / 1.5Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Spann
Strike Zones
Clark
Spann
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Clark
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Spann targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (43% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spann
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0

Spann · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Mario Pinto
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Marcus Buchecha
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz Brzeski
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes Acosta
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint Preux
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

Clark · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcin Prachnio
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Submission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · KO · R3
William Knight
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04

News & Media

Ryan Spann · Devin Clark
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