UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Perez
53%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ailin
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
132
5'5"66" reachSwitch31 yrs6-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Joselyne
Joselyne Edwards
"La Pantera"
186
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Edwards

This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 47% vs Edwards at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Edwards throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Perez
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
31
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
62.4
52.2
Performance Avg
51.2
30
Quality of Victory
39
75
Momentum Score
100
Perez
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
9
Body
6
5
Leg
9
RangeRange
15Distance21
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Perez
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Perez
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Perez
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perez
Edwards
Striking1.7 / 3.6Volume8.4 / 5.8Grappling3.3 / 3.1Wrestling2.3 / 2.2Submission1.7 / 2.2Pressure3.7 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Perez
Strike Zones
Edwards
Perez
Attacking
5HEAD9BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD6BODY9LEGS21 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
6HEAD6BODY9LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD9BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the body (47% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perez
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0103.7L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.3W5.2W5.8W2022-092023-112024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.2L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W6.2L6.5L6.0W5.5W6.0W5.9W5.0W2021-012022-072024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Perez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Daria ZhelezniakovaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

Edwards · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Tamires VidalRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Ailin Perez · Joselyne Edwards
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