UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Perez
53%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 47% vs Edwards at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Edwards throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Perez
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
31
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
62.4
52.2
Performance Avg
51.2
30
Quality of Victory
39
75
Momentum Score
100
Perez
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
9
Body
6
5
Leg
9
RangeRange
15Distance21
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Perez
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Perez
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Perez
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
PerezEdwards
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the body (47% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
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Karol RosaRating 5.2Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Daria ZhelezniakovaRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.9Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
Edwards · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 5Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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W · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
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