METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Middleweight
VS
46%
Whittaker
54%
Adesanya
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:33
★ Official Result
Israel AdesanyawinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:33
def. Robert Whittaker · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Adesanya
→
Actual result
Adesanya wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 46% vs Adesanya at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Adesanya has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerAdesanya
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Adesanya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+80"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Whittaker
Adesanya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
63.4
56.0
Performance Avg
61.2
46
Quality of Victory
56
71
Momentum Score
100
Whittaker
Adesanya
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
13
0
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Whittaker
Adesanya
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Adesanya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Whittaker
Adesanya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Whittaker
Adesanya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Adesanya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
WhittakerAdesanya
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAdesanya
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (93% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Adesanya targets the head (65% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Adesanya
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Whittaker · Last 5
Upcoming
Nikita KrylovUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04