★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Melbourne, Australia
5 Oct 2019
Middleweight
VS
46%
Whittaker
54%
Adesanya
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:33
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsSwitch80" reach6'4"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Adesanya

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 46% vs Adesanya at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Adesanya has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Whittaker
Adesanya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+80"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Whittaker
Adesanya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
63.4
56.0
Performance Avg
61.2
46
Quality of Victory
56
71
Momentum Score
100
Whittaker
Adesanya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
13
0
Body
2
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Whittaker
Adesanya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Adesanya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Whittaker
Adesanya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Whittaker
Adesanya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Adesanya
Striking5.0 / 5.2Volume6.6 / 6.3Grappling1.6 / 1.5Wrestling1.1 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Whittaker
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Adesanya
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (93% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Adesanya targets the head (65% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Adesanya
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Adesanya · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Israel Adesanya
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