★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Lightweight
VS
54%
Makhachev
46%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs16-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 75
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
28 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'6"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makhachev

This is a genuine toss-up — Makhachev at 54% vs Volkanovski at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Makhachev
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
+71"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
64.0
69.8
Performance Avg
59.8
53
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
2
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance12
4Clinch3
0Ground5
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
8
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
16-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Makhachev
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
8
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev
Volkanovski
Striking3.6 / 5.0Volume4.7 / 7.0Grappling4.6 / 1.6Wrestling3.2 / 1.1Submission4.7 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Makhachev
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Makhachev
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Volkanovski
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (75% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (70% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makhachev
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Makhachev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Volkanovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.6W5.6W5.9W5.9W5.6W7.5L6.8W3.5L4.5L5.8W5.8W2016-112018-122022-042024-022026-01
WinLossTrend

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

Volkanovski · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Islam Makhachev · Alexander Volkanovski
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