UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Middleweight
VS
55%
Harris
45%
Falcao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
This is a genuine toss-up — Harris at 55% vs Falcao at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Falcao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Harris
Falcao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
77"
Reach
46
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Falcao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.0
21.3
62.0
Performance Avg
55.0
53
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
100
Harris
Falcao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.2
29%
Strike Accuracy
38%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Harris
Falcao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Harris
Falcao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/47 fights
Harris
Falcao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Harris
Falcao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
Falcao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
HarrisFalcao
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFalcao
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the body (67% of attacks) — Falcao absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Falcao targets the head (67% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
Falcao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Maiquel FalcaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · KO · R3
David BranchRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R1
Mario MirandaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
John SalterRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
Falcao · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Gerald HarrisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11