METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Cincinnati, USA
20 Oct 2007
Lightweight
VS
41%
Robinson
59%
Gurgel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alvin RobinsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Gurgel · UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gurgel
→
Actual result
Robinson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Robinson at 41% vs Gurgel at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Gurgel throws more volume but Robinson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robinson's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RobinsonGurgel
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Robinson
Gurgel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+69"
44+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Robinson
Gurgel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
12.5
25.0
Performance Avg
32.1
25
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
45
Robinson
Gurgel
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
28%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Robinson
Gurgel
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robinson
Gurgel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Robinson
Gurgel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Robinson
Gurgel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robinson
Gurgel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
RobinsonGurgel
Strike Zones
Robinson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGurgel
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robinson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gurgel absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robinson
RND
Gurgel
0/0R00/0
Robinson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Gurgel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Robinson · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Mark BocekRating 4Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R1
Nate DiazRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01
W · Dec · R3
Jorge GurgelRating 4.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
L · KO · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
Gurgel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R3
Cole MillerRating 4Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Dec · R3
John HalversonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Alvin RobinsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego SaraivaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07