UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Denver, USA
13 Jul 2024
Welterweight
VS
48%
Elder
52%
Flowers
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:46
Evan
Evan Elder
"The Phenom"
10 – 2
5'10"72" reachSwitch29 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Darrius
Darrius Flowers
"Beast Mode"
13 – 8
Knockout Artist31 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Flowers

This is a genuine toss-up — Elder at 48% vs Flowers at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Flowers has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Striking split: Elder throws more volume but Flowers connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Elder
Flowers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
29+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Elder
Flowers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
50.7
43.9
Performance Avg
43.0
33
Quality of Victory
55
48
Momentum Score
43
Elder
Flowers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
63%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
8
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Elder
Flowers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elder
Flowers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Elder
Flowers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
43
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Elder
Flowers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elder
Flowers
Striking1.2 / 10.0Volume6.5 / 0.5Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Elder
Strike Zones
Flowers
Elder
Attacking
0HEAD8BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Flowers
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD8BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elder targets the body (100% of attacks) — Flowers absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elder
RND
Flowers
0/0R00/0

Elder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L7.0L4.5W6.0W5.1W2022-042023-022023-072024-072025-04
WinLossTrend

Flowers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0103.8L5.6L3.4L5.8W2023-072024-022024-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Elder · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · R3
Nazim SadykhovRating 7
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Flowers · Last 4

W · KO · R2
Lando VannataRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Evan ElderRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Jake MatthewsRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

News & Media

Evan Elder · Darrius Flowers
← Back to fights