The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
75%
Tate
25%
Zingano
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tate
Tate is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zingano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Zingano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Zingano has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tate
Zingano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
+68"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tate
Zingano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
17.7
42.5
Performance Avg
49.1
38
Quality of Victory
53
94
Momentum Score
43
Tate
Zingano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
61%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch6
0Ground3
Tate
Zingano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tate
Zingano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Tate
Zingano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
43
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Tate
Zingano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Zingano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
TateZingano
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedZingano
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the body (100% of attacks) — Zingano absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Zingano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Zingano
0/0R00/0
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Zingano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Zingano · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R1
Ronda RouseyRating 1.5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02