UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Auckland, New Zealand
28 Jun 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Villante
43%
O'Connell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Villante
This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 57% vs O'Connell at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
O'Connell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
O'Connell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Connell has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villante
O'Connell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
O'Connell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
15.6
40.8
Performance Avg
44.4
42
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
26
Villante
O'Connell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
21
3
Body
5
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance28
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
O'Connell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
O'Connell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Villante
O'Connell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Villante
O'Connell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
O'Connell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
VillanteO'Connell
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedO'Connell
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (77% of attacks) — O'Connell absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯O'Connell targets the head (75% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
O'Connell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
O'Connell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
O'Connell · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Corey AndersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Steve BosseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · KO · R3
Matt Van BurenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01