UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie
Los Angeles, USA
27 May 2006
Lightweight
VS
89%
Guillard
11%
Davis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:37
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
5'9"71" reachOrthodox43 yrsStriker
CFR 18
RD
Rick Davis
"The Flying Squirrel"
3 – 1
Well-RoundedNaNOrthodox5'9"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guillard

Guillard is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Guillard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.

Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guillard
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
43
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guillard
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.2
49.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Guillard
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
2
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance5
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Guillard
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
1/4 fights
Guillard
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Guillard
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guillard
Davis
Striking7.0 / 0.0Volume3.8 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Guillard
Strike Zones
Davis
Guillard
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (70% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (40% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guillard
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

Davis · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05

News & Media

Melvin Guillard · Rick Davis
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