METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie
Los Angeles, USA
27 May 2006
Lightweight
VS
89%
Guillard
11%
Davis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:37
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:37
def. Rick Davis · UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guillard
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Guillard is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Guillard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuillardDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
43
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guillard
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.2
49.7
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Guillard
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
2
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance5
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Guillard
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
1/4 fights
Guillard
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Guillard
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guillard
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GuillardDavis
Strike Zones
Guillard
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDavis
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (70% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (40% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guillard
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
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Upcoming
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W · KO · R2
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L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
Davis · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05