UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Barber
52%
Grasso
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grasso
This is a genuine toss-up — Barber at 48% vs Grasso at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barber has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Barber
Grasso
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+66"
28+
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Barber
Grasso
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
59.1
53.3
Performance Avg
52.8
38
Quality of Victory
45
65
Momentum Score
84
Barber
Grasso
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
6
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance8
12Clinch5
2Ground0
Barber
Grasso
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barber
Grasso
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Barber
Grasso
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
84
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Barber
Grasso
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barber
Grasso
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
BarberGrasso
Strike Zones
Barber
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGrasso
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barber targets the head (68% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Grasso targets the head (62% of attacks) — Barber absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barber
RND
Grasso
0/0R00/0
Barber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Grasso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Barber · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Grasso · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7Submission
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