UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
45%
Tucker
55%
Choi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Choi
This is a genuine toss-up — Tucker at 45% vs Choi at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Choi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tucker's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Choi has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tucker
Choi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
66"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tucker
Choi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
38.5
43.9
Performance Avg
34.8
35
Quality of Victory
34
33
Momentum Score
69
Tucker
Choi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Tucker
Choi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tucker
Choi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Tucker
Choi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Tucker
Choi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tucker
Choi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
TuckerChoi
Strike Zones
Tucker
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedChoi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tucker targets the head (67% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Choi targets the body (80% of attacks) — Tucker absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tucker
RND
Choi
0/0R00/0
Tucker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Choi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Tucker · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8Submission
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W · Sub · R3
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Choi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
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