METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Evans
46%
Sonnen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:05
def. Chael Sonnen · UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Evans
→
Actual result
Evans wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 54% vs Sonnen at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Evans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Evans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sonnen has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansSonnen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Sonnen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Evans
Sonnen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
12.8
53.1
Performance Avg
40.4
46
Quality of Victory
34
25
Momentum Score
45
Evans
Sonnen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
2Clinch2
17Ground0
Evans
Sonnen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Sonnen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/44 fights
Evans
Sonnen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
45
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Sonnen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Sonnen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
EvansSonnen
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSonnen
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (95% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Sonnen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Sonnen
0/0R00/0
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Sonnen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Sonnen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01