UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Evans
46%
Sonnen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:05
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
CS
Chael Sonnen
29 – 15
Well-Rounded49 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'1"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Evans

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 54% vs Sonnen at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Evans has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Evans has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sonnen has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Sonnen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Evans
Sonnen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
12.8
53.1
Performance Avg
40.4
46
Quality of Victory
34
25
Momentum Score
45
Evans
Sonnen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
2Clinch2
17Ground0
Evans
Sonnen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Sonnen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/44 fights
Evans
Sonnen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
45
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Evans
Sonnen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Sonnen
Striking5.6 / 1.0Volume5.8 / 6.7Grappling1.4 / 4.0Wrestling1.0 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 2.9Pressure4.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Evans
Strike Zones
Sonnen
Evans
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Sonnen
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (95% of attacks) — Sonnen absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Sonnen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Sonnen
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Sonnen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0102.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L5.2W4.5W2.1L3.3L5.0W1.5L2005-102009-052011-102013-082013-11
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Sonnen · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Rashad EvansRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Chael Sonnen
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