UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
70%
Villante
30%
Safarov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Villante
Villante is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Villante has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Villante throws more volume but Safarov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Safarov has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villante
Safarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Safarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
8.8
40.8
Performance Avg
25.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
22
Villante
Safarov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
5
0
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance6
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Safarov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Safarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Villante
Safarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
22
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Villante
Safarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Safarov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
VillanteSafarov
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSafarov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (80% of attacks) — Safarov absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Safarov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Safarov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Safarov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Safarov · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12