METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
70%
Villante
30%
Safarov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:54
★ Official Result
Gian VillantewinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:54
def. Saparbeg Safarov · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Villante
→
Actual result
Villante wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Villante is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Villante has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Safarov has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VillanteSafarov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Villante
Safarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Safarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
8.8
40.8
Performance Avg
25.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
22
Villante
Safarov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
0.8
4.2
Style: Volume
8.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
5
0
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance6
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Safarov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Safarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Villante
Safarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
22
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Villante
Safarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Safarov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
VillanteSafarov
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSafarov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (80% of attacks) — Safarov absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Safarov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Safarov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Safarov · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraSubmission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Tyson PedroSubmission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12