UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Penne
55%
Godinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Godinez
This is a genuine toss-up — Penne at 45% vs Godinez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Godinez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penne
Godinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'2"
67"+
Reach
61"
43
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Godinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
44.2
34.1
Performance Avg
42.7
35
Quality of Victory
31
63
Momentum Score
49
Penne
Godinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
32%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance9
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Penne
Godinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Godinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Penne
Godinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Penne
Godinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penne
Godinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
PenneGodinez
Strike Zones
Penne
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGodinez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (67% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Godinez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penne
RND
Godinez
0/0R00/0
Penne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Godinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R2
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