METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Bantamweight
VS
37%
Cruz
63%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cody GarbrandtwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Dominick Cruz · UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garbrandt
→
Actual result
Garbrandt wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Garbrandt holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Cruz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cruz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CruzGarbrandt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cruz
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cruz
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
53.3
50.3
Performance Avg
50.3
37
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
84
Cruz
Garbrandt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
5.9
8.3
Style: Volume
4.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cruz
Garbrandt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cruz
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Cruz
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Cruz
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruz
Garbrandt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
CruzGarbrandt
Strike Zones
Cruz
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedGarbrandt
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (58% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruz
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Cruz · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozDecision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
Garbrandt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoSubmission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12