UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
38%
Cerminara
62%
Fiorot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fiorot
Fiorot holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Cerminara has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fiorot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Fiorot has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cerminara
Fiorot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Fiorot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
67.2
40.9
Performance Avg
59.6
25
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
100
Cerminara
Fiorot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.0
35%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
11
Body
5
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance24
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Cerminara
Fiorot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Fiorot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Cerminara
Fiorot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Fiorot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Fiorot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
CerminaraFiorot
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedFiorot
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the body (39% of attacks) — Fiorot absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Fiorot targets the head (54% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Fiorot
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Fiorot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Fiorot · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10