METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
40%
Cerminara
60%
Fiorot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
186
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Manon
Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
132
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'7"
CFR 68
★ Official Result
Manon FiorotwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Katlyn Cerminara · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fiorot
Actual result
Fiorot wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Fiorot holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cerminara has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Fiorot has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraFiorot
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cerminara
Fiorot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Fiorot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
67.5
40.9
Performance Avg
60.0
25
Quality of Victory
41
85
Momentum Score
100
Cerminara
Fiorot
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
9.3
Style: Volume
6.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
11
Body
5
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance24
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Cerminara
Fiorot
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Fiorot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Cerminara
Fiorot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Fiorot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Fiorot
Striking1.3 / 5.5Volume9.3 / 6.8Grappling2.4 / 1.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Fiorot
Cerminara
Attacking
10HEAD11BODY7LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY7LEGS26 absorbed
Fiorot
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY7LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD11BODY7LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the body (39% of attacks) — Fiorot absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Fiorot targets the head (54% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Fiorot
0/0R00/0

Cerminara · Last 5

Upcoming
Jamey-Lyn Horth
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Maycee Barber
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon Fiorot
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda Ribas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Fiorot · Last 5

Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Jasmine Jasudavicius
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Erin Blanchfield
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Rose Namajunas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09

News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara · Manon Fiorot
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