METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Brilz
49%
Nogueira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rogerio NogueirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jason Brilz · UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brilz
→
Actual result
Nogueira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brilz at 51% vs Nogueira at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nogueira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Nogueira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brilz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nogueira has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrilzNogueira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brilz
Nogueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+75"
51
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brilz
Nogueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
14.4
38.1
Performance Avg
47.0
35
Quality of Victory
48
63
Momentum Score
20
Brilz
Nogueira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Brilz
Nogueira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brilz
Nogueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Brilz
Nogueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Brilz
Nogueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brilz
Nogueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
BrilzNogueira
Strike Zones
Brilz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedNogueira
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (78% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brilz
RND
Nogueira
0/0R00/0
Brilz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Nogueira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · KO · R2
Sam AlveyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05