METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Brilz
49%
Nogueira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rogerio NogueirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jason Brilz · UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brilz
→
Actual result
Nogueira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brilz at 51% vs Nogueira at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nogueira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Brilz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nogueira has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrilzNogueira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brilz
Nogueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+75"
51
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brilz
Nogueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
14.4
38.1
Performance Avg
47.0
35
Quality of Victory
48
63
Momentum Score
20
Brilz
Nogueira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
7.6
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.2
Style: Volume
3.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Brilz
Nogueira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brilz
Nogueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Brilz
Nogueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Brilz
Nogueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brilz
Nogueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
BrilzNogueira
Strike Zones
Brilz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedNogueira
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (78% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brilz
RND
Nogueira
0/0R00/0
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoKO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferDecision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallDecision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · KO · R2
Sam AlveyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05