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UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Welterweight
VS
47%
Jouban
53%
Tumenov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:55
AJ
Alan Jouban
"Brahma"
17 – 7
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
AT
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21
★ Official Result
Albert TumenovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:55
def. Alan Jouban · UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tumenov
→
Actual result
Tumenov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Jouban at 47% vs Tumenov at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jouban has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jouban's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JoubanTumenov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jouban
Tumenov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
44
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jouban
Tumenov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
20.6
49.7
Performance Avg
52.6
42
Quality of Victory
46
67
Momentum Score
76
Jouban
Tumenov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
4
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance18
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Jouban
Tumenov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jouban
Tumenov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/22 fights
Jouban
Tumenov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jouban
Tumenov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jouban
Tumenov
Striking6.2 / 7.3Volume5.2 / 4.5Grappling1.2 / 1.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Jouban
Strike Zones
Tumenov
Jouban
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Tumenov
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jouban targets the head (71% of attacks) — Tumenov absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Tumenov targets the head (84% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jouban
RND
Tumenov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jouban · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.7L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.6W4.5W3.8L2.2L5.2W5.5L5.0W2014-082015-102017-032020-11
WinLossTrend

Tumenov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L5.1L2014-022014-102015-102016-052016-10
WinLossTrend

Jouban · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

Tumenov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Alan Jouban · Albert Tumenov
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