UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Kallang, Singapore
23 Jun 2018
Flyweight
VS
34%
Lausa
66%
Sasaki
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sasaki
Sasaki holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Lausa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sasaki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Striking split: Sasaki throws more volume but Lausa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sasaki has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lausa
Sasaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lausa
Sasaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.2
17.8
25.0
Performance Avg
48.2
25
Quality of Victory
51
17
Momentum Score
46
Lausa
Sasaki
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
2
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground11
Lausa
Sasaki
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lausa
Sasaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Lausa
Sasaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Lausa
Sasaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lausa
Sasaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
LausaSasaki
Strike Zones
Lausa
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedSasaki
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lausa targets the head (57% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Sasaki targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lausa absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lausa
RND
Sasaki
0/0R00/0
Lausa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Sasaki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Lausa · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Eric SheltonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Magomed BibulatovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Yao ZhikuiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
Sasaki · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Jenel LausaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · Sub · R2
Justin ScogginsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02