UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2022
Featherweight
VS
35%
Minner
65%
Nuerdanbieke
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nuerdanbieke
Nuerdanbieke holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Minner has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Nuerdanbieke throws more volume but Minner connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Minner's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nuerdanbieke has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
40.0
37.0
Performance Avg
42.0
40
Quality of Victory
37
45
Momentum Score
51
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.8
77%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
19
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/40 fights
Chin rating based on
6/51 fights
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Minner
Nuerdanbieke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
MinnerNuerdanbieke
Strike Zones
Minner
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedNuerdanbieke
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Minner targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Minner absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Minner
RND
Nuerdanbieke
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Minner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Nuerdanbieke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Minner · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Darren ElkinsRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Sub · R1
TJ LaramieRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Nuerdanbieke · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Steve GarciaRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SorianoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11