UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Anaheim, USA
17 Aug 2019
Lightweight
VS
52%
Smith
48%
Worthy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:15
DS
Devonte Smith
"King Kage"
11 – 4
5'9"76" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 31
KW
Khama Worthy
"The Death Star"
16 – 9
Pressure Fighter3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 52% vs Worthy at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Worthy throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Smith's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Worthy has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Smith
Worthy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
32+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Worthy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
29.0
49.5
Performance Avg
47.5
49
Quality of Victory
53
78
Momentum Score
59
Smith
Worthy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
2
Body
2
10
Leg
10
RangeRange
15Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Smith
Worthy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Worthy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Smith
Worthy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Worthy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Worthy
Striking7.7 / 5.8Volume1.0 / 0.8Grappling0.0 / 4.0Wrestling0.0 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure6.2 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Smith
Strike Zones
Worthy
Smith
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY10LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY10LEGS21 absorbed
Worthy
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY10LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY10LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Worthy absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Worthy targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Worthy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W5.0W1.5L4.2W2.9L6.7L2018-112019-022019-082021-022021-102022-03
WinLossTrend

Worthy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.5W2.3L1.7L2.2L2019-082020-062020-092021-032021-10
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Jamie MullarkeyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
W · R2
Justin JaynesRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Khama WorthyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02

Worthy · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jai HerbertRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Sub · R3
Luis PenaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Devonte Smith · Khama Worthy
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