METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
25%
Pokrajac
75%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IP
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
28 – 13
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Igor Pokrajac · UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Blachowicz is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Pokrajac's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blachowicz has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PokrajacBlachowicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
44.0
43.2
Performance Avg
51.8
50
Quality of Victory
48
33
Momentum Score
20
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
5.8
2.7
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
25
0
Body
8
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch3
2Ground26
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/41 fights
Chin rating based on
23/40 fights
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
20
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pokrajac
Blachowicz
Striking5.7 / 5.3Volume2.7 / 4.5Grappling2.6 / 2.3Wrestling1.8 / 1.6Submission2.5 / 1.7Pressure6.3 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Pokrajac
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Pokrajac
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD8BODY0LEGS33 absorbed
Blachowicz
Attacking
25HEAD8BODY0LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pokrajac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (76% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pokrajac
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0

Pokrajac · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael Cavalcante
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan Jimmo
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey Beltran
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12

Blachowicz · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Navajo Stirling
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos Ulberg
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex Pereira
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Igor Pokrajac · Jan Blachowicz
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