UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Silva
41%
Cavalcante
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:29
TS
Thiago Silva
19 – 6
6'2"74" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 25
RC
Rafael Cavalcante
"Feijao"
12 – 7
Knockout Artist3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 59% vs Cavalcante at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cavalcante has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Cavalcante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Cavalcante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
17.2
60.6
Performance Avg
44.0
54
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
39
Silva
Cavalcante
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
20
4
Body
3
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
35Distance23
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Silva
Cavalcante
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Silva
Cavalcante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Silva
Cavalcante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Silva
Cavalcante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Cavalcante
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume2.5 / 0.4Grappling0.3 / 0.0Wrestling0.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Silva
Strike Zones
Cavalcante
Silva
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY10LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD3BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Cavalcante
Attacking
20HEAD3BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY10LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (62% of attacks) — Cavalcante absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Cavalcante targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Cavalcante
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W2007-052008-052010-012013-10
WinLossTrend

Cavalcante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0101.5L5.0W5.5L4.0L6.1L2013-062013-112014-062015-082016-02
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Upcoming
Stanislav Nedkov
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Alexander GustafssonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
Upcoming
Brandon Vera
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01

Cavalcante · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · KO · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

News & Media

Thiago Silva · Rafael Cavalcante
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