METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Flyweight
VS
83%
Horiguchi
17%
Camus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kyoji HoriguchiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chico Camus · UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horiguchi
→
Actual result
Horiguchi wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Horiguchi's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoriguchiCamus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Horiguchi
Camus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+66"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horiguchi
Camus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.6
12.5
53.7
Performance Avg
32.1
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
45
Horiguchi
Camus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
1.3
7.0
Style: Volume
8.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
31
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance37
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Horiguchi
Camus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horiguchi
Camus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Horiguchi
Camus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Horiguchi
Camus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horiguchi
Camus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
HoriguchiCamus
Strike Zones
Horiguchi
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedCamus
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (82% of attacks) — Camus absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Camus targets the head (84% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horiguchi
RND
Camus
0/0R00/0
Horiguchi · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Camus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris HoldsworthDecision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Upcoming
Yaotzin MezaUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
