UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Flyweight
VS
84%
Horiguchi
16%
Camus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kyoji
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
36 – 5
5'4"63" reachOrthodox35 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
CC
Chico Camus
"The King"
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horiguchi

Horiguchi is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Horiguchi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Horiguchi
Camus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+66"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horiguchi
Camus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
12.5
56.7
Performance Avg
32.1
34
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
45
Horiguchi
Camus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
31
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance37
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Horiguchi
Camus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Horiguchi
Camus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Horiguchi
Camus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Horiguchi
Camus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horiguchi
Camus
Striking4.0 / 0.9Volume7.1 / 8.9Grappling2.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Horiguchi
Strike Zones
Camus
Horiguchi
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD5BODY1LEGS37 absorbed
Camus
Attacking
31HEAD5BODY1LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (82% of attacks) — Camus absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Camus targets the head (84% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horiguchi
RND
Camus
0/0R00/0

Horiguchi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W6.6W5.8W2013-102015-012016-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Camus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.0L5.4W5.5L4.5W7.0L7.0L2012-082013-082014-112015-09
WinLossTrend

Horiguchi · Last 5

Upcoming
Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

Camus · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris HoldsworthRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
Upcoming
Yaotzin Meza
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01

News & Media

Kyoji Horiguchi · Chico Camus
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