UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
40%
McGee
60%
Brady
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brady
Brady holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but McGee has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: McGee throws more volume but Brady connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brady has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McGee
Brady
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Brady
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
57.4
40.1
Performance Avg
53.7
36
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
84
McGee
Brady
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
34
3
Body
2
12
Leg
6
RangeRange
50Distance42
2Clinch0
0Ground0
McGee
Brady
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Brady
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
11/21 fights
McGee
Brady
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
84
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
McGee
Brady
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Brady
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
McGeeBrady
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedBrady
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (71% of attacks) — Brady absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Brady targets the head (81% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Brady
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brady · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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Brady · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
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L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R4
Leon EdwardsRating 6.5Submission
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W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7Decision
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W · Sub · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Submission
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