UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Aldrich
55%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldrich at 45% vs Robertson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Aldrich throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Aldrich's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aldrich
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
63"
33
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aldrich
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
59.1
42.5
Performance Avg
55.0
28
Quality of Victory
45
80
Momentum Score
74
Aldrich
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
1
Body
7
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance14
1Clinch5
2Ground0
Aldrich
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldrich
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/22 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Aldrich
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
74
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Aldrich
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
7
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldrich
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
AldrichRobertson
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (94% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the body (37% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 37% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldrich
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Aldrich · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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