UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
41%
Santos
59%
Tate
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tate
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 41% vs Tate at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tate has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tate has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Tate
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
65"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Tate
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.0
52.5
38.3
Performance Avg
42.5
25
Quality of Victory
38
55
Momentum Score
94
Santos
Tate
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Santos
Tate
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Tate
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Santos
Tate
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
94
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Santos
Tate
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Tate
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
SantosTate
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTate
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Tate targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Tate
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Holly HolmRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07