UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Welterweight
VS
48%
Holland
52%
Page
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Michael
Michael Page
"Venom"
25 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSwitch79" reach6'3"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Page

This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 48% vs Page at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Holland throws more volume but Page connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holland
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
81"+
Reach
79"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Holland
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
50.2
49.3
Performance Avg
47.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
70
Holland
Page
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance12
0Clinch1
1Ground1
Holland
Page
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Holland
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
70
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holland
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Page
Striking4.3 / 1.6Volume3.6 / 9.6Grappling3.8 / 2.4Wrestling2.6 / 1.7Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 2.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.6
Holland
Strike Zones
Page
Holland
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Page
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Page absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (71% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Page
0/0R00/0

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Page · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.1W7.0L6.0W5.5W6.2W2024-032024-062025-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Page · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sam PattersonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Kevin Holland · Michael Page
← Back to fights