METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Portland, USA
29 Aug 2009
Middleweight
VS
31%
Simpson
69%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:17
★ Official Result
Aaron SimpsonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:17
def. Ed Herman · UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
→
Actual result
Simpson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Herman holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Simpson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Herman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Simpson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SimpsonHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Simpson
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
52
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simpson
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
38.7
46.0
Performance Avg
47.4
34
Quality of Victory
44
76
Momentum Score
82
Simpson
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
6.4
7.0
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Simpson
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.9
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simpson
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Simpson
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Simpson
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simpson
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simpson
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Simpson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferDecision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05