UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Dern
45%
Jandiroba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mackenzie
Mackenzie Dern
16 – 5
5'4"63" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Virna
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
23 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dern

This is a genuine toss-up — Dern at 55% vs Jandiroba at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Dern has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dern
Jandiroba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dern
Jandiroba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
49.0
51.1
Performance Avg
48.7
39
Quality of Victory
35
94
Momentum Score
45
Dern
Jandiroba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
21
4
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance20
2Clinch4
1Ground0
Dern
Jandiroba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dern
Jandiroba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Dern
Jandiroba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
45
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dern
Jandiroba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dern
Jandiroba
Striking1.4 / 1.4Volume5.7 / 5.8Grappling5.0 / 4.0Wrestling3.5 / 2.8Submission4.5 / 3.3Pressure5.2 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
4.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Dern
Strike Zones
Jandiroba
Dern
Attacking
25HEAD4BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Jandiroba
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD4BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jandiroba absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Jandiroba targets the head (88% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dern
RND
Jandiroba
0/0R00/0

Dern · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.0W5.6L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W6.2L5.2W6.5L4.6W3.5L6.6L5.0W5.4W5.2W2018-032020-092022-042024-022025-10
WinLossTrend

Jandiroba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8L5.2W5.0W6.7L4.2W5.6L4.6W5.2W5.0W6.2W5.5W6.7L5.2W2019-042021-062024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Dern · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Virna JandirobaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Jandiroba · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Mackenzie Dern · Virna Jandiroba
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