METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Dern
45%
Jandiroba
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mackenzie DernwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Virna Jandiroba · UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dern
→
Actual result
Dern wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dern at 55% vs Jandiroba at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DernJandiroba
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dern
Jandiroba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dern
Jandiroba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
49.0
52.7
Performance Avg
48.7
41
Quality of Victory
35
94
Momentum Score
45
Dern
Jandiroba
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.4
6.1
Style: Volume
5.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
21
4
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance20
2Clinch4
1Ground0
Dern
Jandiroba
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dern
Jandiroba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/21 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Dern
Jandiroba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
45
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dern
Jandiroba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dern
Jandiroba
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
DernJandiroba
Strike Zones
Dern
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedJandiroba
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jandiroba absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Jandiroba targets the head (88% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dern
RND
Jandiroba
0/0R00/0
Dern · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Gillian RobertsonDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R5
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Amanda RibasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Jandiroba · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03