UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Middleweight
VS
52%
Hermansson
48%
Vettori
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jack
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
2410
6'1"77" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
1910
Well-Rounded4-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hermansson

This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 52% vs Vettori at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hermansson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hermansson
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hermansson
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
50.2
48.1
Performance Avg
40.0
42
Quality of Victory
31
97
Momentum Score
84
Hermansson
Vettori
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
52
5
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
30Distance54
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hermansson
Vettori
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Hermansson
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Hermansson
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
22%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hermansson
Vettori
Striking3.9 / 1.1Volume4.8 / 7.3Grappling3.3 / 3.6Wrestling2.3 / 2.5Submission2.7 / 2.2Pressure5.6 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Hermansson
Strike Zones
Vettori
Hermansson
Attacking
22HEAD5BODY3LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
52HEAD2BODY0LEGS54 absorbed
Vettori
Attacking
52HEAD2BODY0LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD5BODY3LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (96% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hermansson
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hermansson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W6.1W5.0W4.5W3.1L5.3W6.3L5.9W6.6L5.2W4.2L6.5W3.1L3.1L2016-092018-052020-072022-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Jack Hermansson · Marvin Vettori
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