UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Middleweight
VS
55%
Sakara
45%
Irvin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sakara
This is a genuine toss-up — Sakara at 55% vs Irvin at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sakara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sakara's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Irvin has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sakara
Irvin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sakara
Irvin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
14.3
46.1
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
50
76
Momentum Score
26
Sakara
Irvin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
4
Body
0
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Sakara
Irvin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sakara
Irvin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Sakara
Irvin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · R1
Sakara
Irvin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sakara
Irvin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
SakaraIrvin
Strike Zones
Sakara
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedIrvin
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sakara targets the head (54% of attacks) — Irvin absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Irvin targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sakara
RND
Irvin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sakara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Irvin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Sakara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
Irvin · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · KO · R1
Houston AlexanderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · R1
Luiz CaneRating 4UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12