UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Featherweight
VS
93%
Peralta
7%
Payan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:12
RP
Robert Peralta
"Problems"
18 – 8
5'8"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
EP
Estevan Payan
"El Terrible"
16 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Peralta

Peralta is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Peralta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Peralta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Payan has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Peralta
Payan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Peralta
Payan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
1.5
46.9
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
77
Momentum Score
0
Peralta
Payan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Peralta
Payan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Peralta
Payan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/28 fights
Peralta
Payan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Peralta
Payan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Peralta
Payan
Striking6.1 / 0.0Volume5.1 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Peralta
Strike Zones
Payan
Peralta
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Payan
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Peralta targets the head (80% of attacks) — Payan absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Payan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Peralta absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Peralta
RND
Payan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Peralta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L6.0L2011-092013-042014-052015-04
WinLossTrend

Payan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0106.0L4.0L1.5L2013-052013-122014-04
WinLossTrend

Peralta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago TavaresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R3
Estevan PayanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Akira CorassaniRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

Payan · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Alex WhiteRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
L · KO · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 6
Decision
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05

News & Media

Robert Peralta · Estevan Payan
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