UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Hiestand
45%
Danaa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:21
Brady
Brady Hiestand
"Bam Bam"
9 – 2
5'8"71" reachOrthodox27 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 57
BD
Batgerel Danaa
"Storm"
12 – 5
Knockout Artist3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hiestand

This is a genuine toss-up — Hiestand at 55% vs Danaa at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Danaa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Danaa throws more volume but Hiestand connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Danaa has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hiestand
Danaa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
27+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hiestand
Danaa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.3
47.5
54.0
Performance Avg
53.1
40
Quality of Victory
60
87
Momentum Score
85
Hiestand
Danaa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
8
6
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance10
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Hiestand
Danaa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hiestand
Danaa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Hiestand
Danaa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
85
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Hiestand
Danaa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hiestand
Danaa
Striking4.8 / 10.0Volume4.2 / 0.9Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.4 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Hiestand
Strike Zones
Danaa
Hiestand
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY4LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Danaa
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY4LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hiestand targets the head (62% of attacks) — Danaa absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Danaa targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hiestand absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hiestand
RND
Danaa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hiestand · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.5W6.1W5.6W2021-082022-112023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Danaa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.1L5.0W5.0W5.0W3.2L6.4L5.1L2019-082021-042022-032023-04
WinLossTrend

Hiestand · Last 4

W · Sub · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

Danaa · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Brady HiestandRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · KO · R2
Chris GutierrezRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Brandon DavisRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Kevin NatividadRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04

News & Media

Brady Hiestand · Batgerel Danaa
← Back to fights