METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Flyweight
VS
50%
Cariaso
50%
Pettis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio PettiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Cariaso · UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cariaso
→
Actual result
Pettis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cariaso at 50% vs Pettis at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Cariaso's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pettis has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CariasoPettis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cariaso
Pettis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+69"
45
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cariaso
Pettis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
14.2
39.1
Performance Avg
40.7
29
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
55
Cariaso
Pettis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
1.9
7.9
Style: Volume
9.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground3
Cariaso
Pettis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cariaso
Pettis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Cariaso
Pettis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cariaso
Pettis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cariaso
Pettis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
CariasoPettis
Strike Zones
Cariaso
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedPettis
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cariaso targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pettis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cariaso
RND
Pettis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cariaso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaDecision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12