UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
23%
Bermudez
77%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fili
Fili is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bermudez
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
48.8
43.2
Performance Avg
42.0
33
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
100
Bermudez
Fili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
28
5
Body
1
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
34Distance28
7Clinch1
0Ground0
Bermudez
Fili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Bermudez
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Bermudez
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
BermudezFili
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedFili
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (61% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (97% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Fili · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02