★ Championship Bout · Women's Featherweight
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Women's Featherweight
VS
43%
Justino
57%
Holm
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holm
This is a genuine toss-up — Justino at 43% vs Holm at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Justino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Justino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holm has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Justino
Holm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Justino
Holm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.9
37.1
75.9
Performance Avg
46.5
69
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
30
Justino
Holm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.0
61%
Strike Accuracy
42%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
14
10
Body
5
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance20
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Justino
Holm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Justino
Holm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Justino
Holm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Justino
Holm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Justino
Holm
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
JustinoHolm
Strike Zones
Justino
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHolm
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Justino targets the head (56% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Holm targets the head (70% of attacks) — Justino absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Justino
RND
Holm
0/0R00/0
Justino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Holm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Justino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Holly HolmRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Tonya EvingerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9Submission
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Upcoming
Mayra Bueno SilvaUFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
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L · Dec · R5
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W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
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