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UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Bantamweight
VS
34%
Faber
66%
Caceres
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 Β· 1:09
UF
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
35 – 11
5'6"67" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 40
β˜… Official Result
Urijah FaberwinsSubmissionR3 Β· 1:09
def. Alex Caceres Β· UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
β†’
Actual result
Faber wins
Submission Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Caceres holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings β€” but Faber has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Caceres has a chin rating of 4 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FaberCaceres
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Faber
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+73"
47
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Faber
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
39.7
49.4
Performance Avg
42.2
42
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
76
Faber
Caceres
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance5
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Faber
Caceres
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Faber
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Faber
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Faber
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Faber
Caceres
Striking2.1 / 1.7Volume4.1 / 6.1Grappling5.2 / 3.5Wrestling3.7 / 2.5Submission5.5 / 2.5Pressure6.3 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Faber
Strike Zones
Caceres
Faber
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 absorbed
Caceres
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (67% of attacks) β€” Caceres absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the legs (60% of attacks) β€” Faber absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Faber
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0

Faber Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.4W4.5W5.2W1.5L5.7W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.7W5.5L2011-032013-042014-122016-122019-12
WinLossTrend

Caceres Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W7.1L2.8L4.2W5.5L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.5W5.4W6.3L5.2W5.4W6.5L6.6L2011-032014-072017-112022-032024-05
WinLossTrend

Faber Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R3
Petr YanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington Β· 2019-12
W Β· KO Β· R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd Β· 2019-07
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson Β· 2016-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem Β· 2016-09
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 Β· 2016-06

Caceres Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento Β· 2024-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie Β· 2023-08
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Β· 2023-06
W Β· KO Β· R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland Β· 2022-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev Β· 2022-03

News & Media

Urijah Faber Β· Alex Caceres
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