UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Bantamweight
VS
34%
Faber
66%
Caceres
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Caceres
Caceres holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Faber has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Faber
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+73"
47
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Faber
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
39.7
49.4
Performance Avg
42.2
42
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
76
Faber
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance5
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Faber
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Faber
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Faber
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Faber
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
FaberCaceres
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (67% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03