Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Hollywood, USA
10 Oct 2006
Middleweight
VS
31%
MacDonald
69%
Herman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:43
JM
Jason MacDonald
"The Athlete"
25 – 16
6'3"80" reachOrthodox50 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but MacDonald has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Herman throws more volume but MacDonald connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

MacDonald
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
77"
50
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
38.7
48.8
Performance Avg
47.4
53
Quality of Victory
44
52
Momentum Score
82
MacDonald
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground0
MacDonald
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
MacDonald
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
MacDonald
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Herman
Striking4.2 / 4.1Volume0.9 / 3.5Grappling5.3 / 3.8Wrestling3.7 / 2.7Submission6.7 / 3.9Pressure8.3 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Herman
MacDonald
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (80% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.2W5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L2006-102007-102008-122011-092012-05
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

MacDonald · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Jason MacDonald · Ed Herman
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