UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
47%
Zellhuber
53%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ribovics
This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 47% vs Ribovics at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ribovics has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
69"
26+
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
48.1
37.0
Performance Avg
43.1
33
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
63
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
73
6
Body
14
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
41Distance90
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
ZellhuberRibovics
Strike Zones
Zellhuber
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
92 absorbedRibovics
Attacking
92 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (79% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zellhuber
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Zellhuber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ribovics · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Zellhuber · Last 5
L · KO · R2
King GreenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
Ribovics · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

