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UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Lightweight
VS
47%
Zellhuber
53%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Daniel
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
154
6'1"77" reachSwitch27 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Esteban
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
153
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 48
★ Official Result
Esteban RibovicswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Zellhuber · UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ribovics
Actual result
Ribovics wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Zellhuber at 47% vs Ribovics at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ribovics has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ZellhuberRibovics
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
69"
27+
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
48.1
37.0
Performance Avg
43.1
33
Quality of Victory
34
55
Momentum Score
63
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
3.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
73
6
Body
14
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
41Distance90
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Zellhuber
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zellhuber
Ribovics
Striking0.9 / 3.6Volume6.2 / 7.1Grappling4.3 / 1.8Wrestling3.0 / 1.3Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Zellhuber
Strike Zones
Ribovics
Zellhuber
Attacking
37HEAD6BODY0LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
73HEAD14BODY5LEGS92 absorbed
Ribovics
Attacking
73HEAD14BODY5LEGS92 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD6BODY0LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (79% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zellhuber
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Zellhuber · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.6L5.0W5.4W5.2W6.2L5.6L3.5L2022-092023-092024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Ribovics · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.0L4.5W6.5W4.9W6.2L5.3W3.8L2023-032024-052025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Zellhuber · Last 5

L · KO · R2
King GreenRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Ribovics · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Daniel Zellhuber · Esteban Ribovics
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