METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Dallas, USA
14 Mar 2015
Middleweight
VS
65%
Theodorou
35%
Narvaez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:07
★ Official Result
Elias TheodorouwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:07
def. Roger Narvaez · UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Theodorou
→
Actual result
Theodorou wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Theodorou holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Narvaez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Theodorou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Theodorou has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Narvaez has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouNarvaez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Narvaez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Theodorou
Narvaez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
10.7
52.0
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
40
Theodorou
Narvaez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
1
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Theodorou
Narvaez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Theodorou
Narvaez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Theodorou
Narvaez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
40
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Theodorou
Narvaez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Narvaez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
TheodorouNarvaez
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedNarvaez
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the head (78% of attacks) — Narvaez absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Narvaez targets the body (50% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Narvaez
0/0R00/0
Theodorou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Narvaez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Narvaez · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Elias TheodorouRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Patrick CumminsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06