UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
Winnipeg, Canada
15 Jun 2013
Heavyweight
VS
46%
Barry
54%
Jordan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jordan
This is a genuine toss-up — Barry at 46% vs Jordan at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Jordan throws more volume but Barry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barry's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jordan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barry
Jordan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barry
Jordan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
21.9
47.3
Performance Avg
57.5
51
Quality of Victory
56
85
Momentum Score
72
Barry
Jordan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Barry
Jordan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Barry
Jordan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/15 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Barry
Jordan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Barry
Jordan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barry
Jordan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
BarryJordan
Strike Zones
Barry
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedJordan
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jordan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jordan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barry absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barry
RND
Jordan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Jordan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barry · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · KO · R2
Shane del RosarioRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Christian MorecraftRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
Jordan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R3
Jack MayRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03