UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
36%
Massenzio
64%
McFedries
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:28
MM
CFR 11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McFedries
McFedries holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Massenzio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Massenzio's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McFedries has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Massenzio
McFedries
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Massenzio
McFedries
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
20.3
35.1
Performance Avg
53.8
40
Quality of Victory
60
13
Momentum Score
65
Massenzio
McFedries
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
3.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Massenzio
McFedries
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Massenzio
McFedries
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Massenzio
McFedries
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Massenzio
McFedries
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Massenzio
McFedries
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MassenzioMcFedries
Strike Zones
Massenzio
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMcFedries
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (100% of attacks) — Massenzio absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Massenzio
RND
McFedries
0/0R00/0
Massenzio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
McFedries · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Massenzio · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karlos VemolaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R3
Brian StannRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
McFedries · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06