UFC Fight Night 5
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
88%
MacDonald
12%
Rothaermel
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:01
RM
Rob MacDonald
"Maximus"
5 – 4
6'3"78" reachOrthodox47 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
KR
Kristian Rothaermel
4 – 3
Well-Rounded54 yrsOpen Stance6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: MacDonald

MacDonald is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

MacDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Striking split: MacDonald throws more volume but Rothaermel connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

MacDonald
Rothaermel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"
Reach
47+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Open Stance
MacDonald
Rothaermel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.5
45.7
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
MacDonald
Rothaermel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
9Ground0
MacDonald
Rothaermel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Rothaermel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
MacDonald
Rothaermel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
MacDonald
Rothaermel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Rothaermel
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Rothaermel
MacDonald
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Rothaermel
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (90% of attacks) — Rothaermel absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Rothaermel targets the legs (67% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Rothaermel
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.7
0101.5L5.0W1.5L2006-032006-062006-08
WinLossTrend

MacDonald · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Kristian RothaermelRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06
L · Sub · R1
Jason LambertRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03

Rothaermel · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Rob MacDonaldRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06

News & Media

Rob MacDonald · Kristian Rothaermel
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