UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Middleweight
VS
32%
Markes
68%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:53
RM
Ronny Markes
17 – 5
6'1"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Markes has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Markes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Markes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Markes
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markes
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
32.2
39.0
Performance Avg
54.0
25
Quality of Victory
51
70
Momentum Score
91
Markes
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.6
61%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Markes
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markes
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Markes
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Markes
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
79%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Markes
Santos
Striking1.2 / 9.0Volume9.2 / 2.9Grappling2.4 / 0.5Wrestling1.7 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.8 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Markes
Strike Zones
Santos
Markes
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (86% of attacks) — Markes absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Markes
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Markes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L1.5L2011-082012-022013-012013-112014-03
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Markes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Karlos VemolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Ronny Markes · Thiago Santos
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