UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Featherweight
VS
19%
Blanco
81%
Hooker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hooker
Hooker is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Hooker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hooker has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blanco
Hooker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Blanco
Hooker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.0
52.3
38.0
Performance Avg
50.3
34
Quality of Victory
45
13
Momentum Score
78
Blanco
Hooker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
26
1
Body
10
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance22
9Clinch15
0Ground0
Blanco
Hooker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blanco
Hooker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Blanco
Hooker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Blanco
Hooker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blanco
Hooker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
BlancoHooker
Strike Zones
Blanco
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedHooker
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blanco targets the head (96% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Hooker targets the head (70% of attacks) — Blanco absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blanco
RND
Hooker
0/0R00/0
Blanco · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Hooker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Blanco · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Sub · R1
Luke SandersRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Andy OgleRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
Hooker · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11