UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Heavyweight
VS
18%
Lane
82%
Tafa
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tafa
Tafa is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Tafa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lane's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tafa has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lane
Tafa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lane
Tafa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
66.1
21.7
Performance Avg
53.8
25
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
98
Lane
Tafa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lane
Tafa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lane
Tafa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/12 fights
Lane
Tafa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Lane
Tafa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lane
Tafa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
LaneTafa
Strike Zones
Lane
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTafa
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lane targets the body (67% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lane
RND
Tafa
0/0R00/0
Lane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Tafa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lane · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterRating 5KO/TKO
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