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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Heavyweight
VS
19%
Lane
81%
Tafa
Win Probability
Austen
Austen Lane
138
6'6"80" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Justin
Justin Tafa
"Bad Man"
75
Knockout Artist2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tafa

Tafa is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Risk flags

Lane's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tafa has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

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Lane
Tafa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lane
Tafa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
59.5
21.7
Performance Avg
53.8
25
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
98
Lane
Tafa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.5
Style: Pressure
8.3
8.3
Style: Volume
0.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lane
Tafa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lane
Tafa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
50
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/12 fights
Lane
Tafa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Lane
Tafa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lane
Tafa
Striking0.3 / 10.0Volume8.3 / 0.9Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.5 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Lane
Strike Zones
Tafa
Lane
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Tafa
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lane targets the body (67% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lane
RND
Tafa
0/0R00/0

Lane · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iwo Baraniewski
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor Petrino
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario Pinto
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis Despaigne
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata Diniz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Tafa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tallison Teixeira
KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl Williams
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen Lane
KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen Lane
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker Porter
KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

News & Media

Austen Lane · Justin Tafa
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