UFC 79: Nemesis
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Machida
49%
Sokoudjou
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:20
RT
CFR 18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Machida
This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 51% vs Sokoudjou at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sokoudjou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Sokoudjou throws more volume but Machida connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sokoudjou has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Machida
Sokoudjou
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Sokoudjou
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
18.3
53.8
Performance Avg
49.3
45
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
35
Machida
Sokoudjou
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
2
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Machida
Sokoudjou
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machida
Sokoudjou
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
3/36 fights
Machida
Sokoudjou
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Machida
Sokoudjou
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Machida
Sokoudjou
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MachidaSokoudjou
Strike Zones
Machida
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSokoudjou
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sokoudjou absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Sokoudjou targets the head (67% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Machida
RND
Sokoudjou
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Machida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sokoudjou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
Sokoudjou · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Luiz CaneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
W · KO · R1
Kazuhiro NakamuraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
L · Sub · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8Submission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12